Ray White Warkworth

White Light Market Report - November 2011 Issue

What a furore the new valuations have created around the region.
 
At the end of October, Auckland Council posted out to each property owner in the region a copy of the revaluation of their property or properties. The valuation is used by council for rating purposes and is purported to reflect the probable market price for a property as at the effective date of the valuation, in this case being July 1, 2011.
 
The revaluations were carried out with the assistance of Quotable Value (QV) and are a mass appraisal valuation of properties, which means that few properties are actually inspected, thus huge variances can often occur. Often, improvements that have been carried out are not included in the appraisal and this can have a significant bearing on the price a property might fetch on the market. This is the scenario occurring in Christchurch right now, where the government is assessing compensation based on the current CV of a property and not allowing for improvements that have been carried out since the last CV was assessed.
 
Since the last revaluations were carried out, for what is now the Rodney Ward of Auckland Council, there has been a global financial crisis around the world. There have been major shifts in most assets, including housing, in the post-global financial crisis and, whereas valuation exercises over the last few decades have normally seen property prices increase in value, this time we have seen some properties decrease in value.
 
Over 1500 homeowners, so far, are objecting to the latest revaluation. In Rodney, the previous revaluation was carried out in 2007 which was at the peak of the market, so it was inevitable that a degree of downward adjustment would have to occur considering how the real estate market has performed since that peak.
 
In our assessment the new CV’s are far more indicative of the actual market values or properties, particularly in the Warkworth, Snells Beach/Algies Bay areas. Regular readers of White Light will recall comments we have made over the last three years, regarding sales that were being made, and their sale price compared to the previous CV of 2007.
 
Never-the-less, there will be anomalies due to the mass valuation process, as explained earlier.
 
After the previous two revaluations in 2004 and 2007, we discovered many instances where the assessed CV’s ranged from 60 percent below the ‘current market value’, at the time, to 60 percent above.
 
Owners wanting a more correct guide as to what the current market value of their property is worth should either pay for a valuation from a Registered Valuer, or ask a reliable real estate agent.
 
The definition of ‘Market Value’ obtained to PINZ standards 2006 is:
“The estimated amount for which a property should exchange on the date of valuation between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s length transaction after proper marketing wherein the parties had each acted knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion”.
 
On the local front there has not been any significant change in the real estate market over the last month.
 
Numbers of residential sales have remained fairly constant over the last quarter dipping just slightly to 31 for October. This is consistent with the August and September numbers of 33 and slightly up on the October 2010 figure of 29. October 2009, was quite different however, with 48 sales made—a number which eclipses the best month experienced so far in 2011 (March—45).
 
Rural/Lifestyle sales numbers have continued at just 7 per month since July, however this was better than the October 2010 result which had dipped to 5. As we have written in earlier newsletters, the rural and lifestyle sector of the market has been the worst affected over recent years and unfortunately there are no optimistic signs of this changing in the near future.
 
Omaha and Warkworth township have been the most consistent performers over the last year or so, with sales in Snells Beach lagging, however, the last three months have seen a significant shift with sales numbers in Snells Beach improving and outscoring other areas. The majority of these sales have been in the under $400,000 bracket.
 
Of the twenty-six dwellings that have sold in the bay over the last 3 months, twenty of them (77 percent) have been for $401,000, or under. Six (23 percent) have sold for under $300,000. An interesting little table below shows the total number of sales of dwellings in Snells Beach for the same    period for 2011, 2010, 2007 and 2006 and the numbers and percentages under $300k and $400k.
 

The table illustrates the affect the global crisis and the recession within our domestic economy has had on prices within Snells Beach. On a market such as what we experienced during the early/mid 2000’s one would have expected that the number of lower priced houses selling would have dropped, as prices rose, however the opposite has been the case here.

Another interesting little statistic is that six of the last twenty-six sales in Snells Beach, have been re-sales in the last 5 years and of the six, four have been for prices lower than their last sale price! Some people, at least, are accepting what the market is and are just getting on with their lives.

Number of residential and rural sales 2010 and 2011 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 
Residential house sales for North Rodney -  October 2011                                                                      RS = Residential Section              X/L = Cross Lease

Property Address   Sale Price   Days on Market  Bedrooms Land Area M2  2007 CV  2011 CV Last Sale Price    Year
Algies Bay  Athol Pl 495,000   59  3 606    560,000  193,000  2002 
   Willjames Ave 690,000   46  4 1,208  560,000  500,000  145,000  2004 
   Willjames Ave 875,000   18  3 809  780,000  700,000  298,000  1995 
Kaipara  Kaipara Coast Hwy 155,000  809            
Leigh  Leigh Rd 405,000  921  4 921  540,000  510,000  465,000  2005 
Matakana  Riverglade Ln 605,000  43  3 1,174  590,000  550,000  565,000  2011 
   Whitmore Rd 910,000   36  3 1,503  790,000  730,000  400,000  2009 
Omaha  Dungarvon Pl 687,000   10  3 557  655,000  610,000  660,000  2007 
   Paraine Pl 880,000   71  4 551    850,000   N/A   
   Shamrock Cres 845,000   13  4 557  830,000  750,000  225,000  1997 
   The Southern Isle 2,256,000   33  3 807  2,350,000  2,250,000  2,300,000  2006 
Point Wells  Harbour View Rd 605,000   51  5  809  745,000  770,000  48,000  1985 
   Point Wells Rd 750,000  235  4  1,507  820,000  750,000  156,500  2003 
   Point Wells Rd  430,000  92  1   1,189  450,000  405,000  170,000  1998 
   Riverside Dr  750,000   60  4 1,191  1,025,000  920,000  385,000  1997 
Sandspit  Creek St 650,000   29  3 4,518    650,000  500,000  2003 
Snells Beach  Cornel Circle 310,000   160  2 1,125  300,000  265,000  137,500  1996 
   Ferndale Dr 305,000  149  3 809    350,000  174,000  2001 
   Hampton Mews 575,000   397  RS 8,063    570,000  N/A   
   Muncaster Rd 200,000   5  RS 598  225,000  225,000  N/A   
   Piccadilly Circus 810,000   38  4 509  445,000   510,000  500,000  2009 
   Rangimaarie Cres 400,000   39  2 809  295,000   415,000  475,000  2007 
   Tara Pl 425,000   2  3 673    435,000  256,000  1997 
   Tara Pl 472,500   67  5 668  495,000  435,000  176,000  1997 
Warkworth  Ashmore Cres  440,000   38  2 392    470,000  275,000  2001 
   Bertram St 500,000   199  3 809  425,000  380,000  225,000  2003 
   David Williams Pl 435,000   33  3 603  435,000  390,000  529,000  2007 
   Pulham Rd 250,000   47  2 809  330,000  280,000  150,000  2003 
Wellsford  Port Albert Rd 318,750   22  3 815  375,000  320,000  N/A   
   Rodney St 220,000   429  2 819  270,000  215,000  180,000  2004 
   Worker Rd 495,000   160  3 1,912    116,000  155,000  2006 

 

Rural house sales for North Rodney - October 2011

Property Address  Sale Price Day on Market Area (Hectares) Description 2007 CV 2011 CV Last Sale Price Year
Matakana  Leigh Rd 350,000   235 1.3010  Home  580,000       
   Omaha Valley Rd 1,400,000  8 26.000  Bare grazing block    1,475,000   1,195,000  2001 
Omaha  Schollum Rd 850,000   132 1.0540  4 bedroom home  905,000  870,000  282,000  2003 
Warkworth  West Coast Rd 730,000  117 8.4900    860,000  770,000  550,000  2004 
   Woodcocks Rd 680,000  123 1.70000  4 bedroom 320miron & weatherboard home 685,000  650,000  385,000  2006 
Wellsford  Whangaripo Valley Rd 472,000  16 5.4440  4 bedroom home  500,000  435,000  415,000  2005 
   Wharf Rd 600,000  0 56.1000           
 
Disclaimer
N.B. Market statistics based on unconditional sales recorded with REINZ during the prescribed period. In preparing this document we have used our best endeavors to ensure the accuracy of all the information provided. We accept no liability or responsibility for any errors or inaccuracies and recommend that all recipients make their own enquiries to verify any information given.