Ray White Warkworth

White Light Market Report - June 2011 Issue

Real estate, the current market, the readjustment of housing prices and, the overall affects these are having on the real estate industry, remain a popular topic from intimate dinner discussions to front page in national media.

Have the affects that the global and domestic economics had on the local real estate market caused New Zealanders’ love-affair with property to wane? Will Government’s continued tinkering with KiwiSaver create uncertainty amongst investors, steering them back to property, which has had proven results over time, even during the bumpy rides? Will there be any real estate agents, or agencies left, if the decline in numbers experienced over the last twelve months continues? Have house prices dropped enough to satisfy analysts?
 
It’s June already and the calendars tell us that winter is here. Historically, for many, this means a quietening in the market while we hibernate a little until September arrives and listings come flowing back to the market. Why should this be? The reality is that our winters aren’t that harsh and let’s face it - if you like a property in winter, it’s a fair chance you are going to absolutely love it over summer.
 
At present, the buyers are still out there and frustration is mounting at the lack of properties available to look at. Confidence is slowly but surely returning to the market and sales volumes are again on the rise while Auckland house prices are nearly back to the levels of 2007, provincial cities and towns continue to struggle but that is changing as confidence gains momentum. There are good, positive signs of recovery in the market, however it is still a little patchy.
 
Over the last few months, new listings have not come to the market as readily as would normally be expected. Many of those that have, were snapped up quite quickly, provided the vendors were realistic with pricing expectations. On the other hand, a good percentage of sales have been made on properties that have sat on the market for an extended period and only after that time, for various reasons, have they become attractive to buyers.
 
In time, the shortage of quality listings available will put pressure on prices as buyers compete for properties. It is the classic tale of ‘supply and demand’. However, buyers are far better educated now and most will not sacrifice quality for price. Far too many properties have outstanding issues in relation to their construction, degree of completion and finalisation of paperwork, to compete successfully in the market. Vendors of these properties can be compromised quite severely if they are lucky enough to get to the negotiation phase of a sale.
 
While house prices may not have dropped low enough to satisfy some financial analysts, it would seem unlikely that they will drop any further or even continue to remain at the current level as confidence in the market lifts.
 
So, where to for KiwiSaver? It has been far more successful than at first anticipated, but just how successful has it been. Since its introduction four years ago New Zealanders have placed $8.7 billion in KiwiSaver, however according to Brian Gaynor (NZ Herald, June 4) the Crown has contributed $3.3 billion and employers $1.6 billion. Growth of the fund will slow significantly due to the Crown’s reduced commitment announced in the budget. Tinkering with the fund may well affect how it is perceived by investors, which could bode well for the property market.
 
As we mentioned last month, sales successes reported in North Rodney so far this year still resemble a roller-coaster ride.
 
 
Residential sales numbers rose to this years high of forty-one, showing an opposite trend to last years sales, while rural sales numbers remained relatively constant at eleven. Of the thirty four residential dwellings that sold only eight sold above their 2007 CV (three of these were in Omaha) and eight sold at a level lower than their previous sale price.
 
Two of the rural/lifestyle properties sold above CV and only two undeveloped lifestyle sites were sold during the month. Just a note of caution when looking at the ‘Days on Market’ numbers.
 
These are accurate as reported to REINZ, however they can be skewered when vendors switch agencies and therefore the count reverts to zero. This can often make a significant difference and there are properties in the table on the back of this newsletter where this has occurred.
 
Residential house sales for North Rodney -  May 2011                                                                                                              RS = Residential Section
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             X/S = Cross Lease
Property Address   Sale Price   Days on Market  Bedrooms Land Area M2  2007 CV  Last Sale Price    Year
Algies Bay   Mahurangi East Rd 658,000   6  4 1,040  700,000  642,000  2008 
   Mariners Gr 375,000   57  2 665  430,000     
   Mera Rd 510,000   288  6 759  570,000  347,500  1999 
   Mera Rd 568,000   5  3 894  630,000  500,000  2009 
Leigh  Albert St 335,000   13  3 809  430,000  323,000  2005 
   Pakiri Rd 285,000   42  3 938  370,000  335,000  2005 
Matakana  Green Rd 600,000   97  3 809  740,000  390,000  2004 
Omaha  Kokopu St 1,050,000     4 642  1,015,000  1,000,000  2010 
   Omaha Dr 765,000   230  3 556  795,000  800,000  2010 
   Pakiri Pl 601,000     4 593  820,000  315,000  2007 
   Taumata Rd 640,000   59  2 800  800,000  800,000  2008 
   Te Mana St 565,000   50  4 450  350,000     
   Te Mana St 675,000   42  3 480  635,000  270,000  2006 
   Te Mauri Pl 840,000   377  3 450  825,000     
   The Southern Isle 670,000     RS 559  670,000  189,000  1996 
Point Wells   Harbour View Rd 1,325,000      1,970  1,105,000  700,000  2005 
Sandspit   Sandspit Rd 492,000  12   3 809  720,000  220,000  1995 
Snells Beach   Apollo Pl 400,000   379  3 821  460,000  295,000  2003 
   Awatere Pl 420,000   3  4 606  520,000  520,000  2007 
   Brampton Rd 480,000   406  3 666  570,000  585,000  2006 
   Brampton Rd 575,000   18  2 570,000  35,000  1992 
   Kauri Cres 576,000   39  4 607  670,000  555,000  2004 
   Mahurangi East Rd 427,500   52  3 868  480,000  46,500  1981 
Warkworth  Belmont Pl 522,000   299  4 606  540,000  550,000  2007 
   Bertram St 460,812   85  3 896  420,000  135,000  1995 
   Blue Gum Dr 429,000   77  3 760  N/A     
   Blue Gum Dr 125,000   68  RS 2,617  260,000  125,000  2011 
   Blue Gum Dr 240,000   99  RS 601  230,000     
   Campbell Dr 315,000   35  3 X/L  380,000  370,000  2008 
   Earls Way 199,000     RS 648  245,000  210,000  2007 
   Falls St 375,000   83  2 X/L  395,000     
   Great North Rd 350,000     3 964  385,000  180,000  1997 
   Hexham St 540,000   78  5 947  420,000  206,500  1999 
   Jade River Pl 199,000   328  RS 664  250,000  270,000  2007 
   Lilburn St 432,000   31  3 804  405,000  435,000  2008 
   McKinney Rd 147,391   309  RS 612  N/A     
   Walton Ave 550,000   67  3 727  550,000     
   Woodcocks Rd 210,000   35  RS 3,000  N/A     
Wellsford  Armitage Pl 188,000   256  2 809  245,000  145,000  2004 
   Port Albert Rd 305,000   300  3 1,229  335,000  63,240  1996 
   Wi Apo Pl 239,000   91  2 X/L  250,000  220,000  2005 
 
Rural house sales for North Rodney - May 2011 
Property Address  Sale Price Day on Market Area (Hectares) Description 2007 CV Last Sale Price Year
Ahuroa  Ahuroa Valley Rd 209,000   227 1.712 Bare lifestyle Dairy Farm, subdividable    N/A   
   West Coast Rd 1,900,000   79 129.7000   2,320,000  N/A   
Algies Bay  Mahurangi East Rd 890,000     1.0   1,275,000  200,000  2003 
Leigh  Ti Point Rd 2,650,000     2.86   2,500,000  280,000  1998 
Matakana  Govan Wilson Rd 550,000   106  2.8920   570,000  260,000  2004 
   Matakana Rd 735,000   282  2.47   485,000  170,000  2001 
Warkworth  Falls Rd 745,000   77  1.1480 These two properties were in a mainly residential  780,000  140,000  2003 
   Viv Davie Martin Rd 735,000   107  1.0200 lifestyle subdivision 2kn from town  770,000  210,000  2003 
   Sandspit Rd 445,000   36  1.0 Residential Section  485,000  125,000  1995 
Wellsford  Burma Rd 650,000   361  54.1180 Grazing block  750,000  958,420  2008 
   Waiteitei Rd 470,000   260  1.4990 Developed lifestyle 1980's dwelling  500,000  30,000  1988 
 
 
Disclaimer
N.B. Market statistics based on unconditional sales recorded with REINZ during the prescribed period. In preparing this document we have used our best endeavors to ensure the accuracy of all the information provided. We accept no liability or responsibility for any errors or inaccuracies and recommend that all recipients make their own enquiries to verify any information given.